• The 20th International Relations Forum: Global Change and International Order



    2019年3月23日,第二十期清華國際關系論壇——“全球變局與國際秩序”研討會在清華大學近春園第三會議室成功召開。會議以當前的國際秩序權力轉移研究為基礎,研究了上述因素對于世界政治的諸多影響。北京外國語大學英語學院謝韜教授,中國人民大學國際關系學院田野教授,北京大學國際關系學院王棟副教授,南京大學政府管理學院副教授毛維準、中國社會科學院世界經濟與政治研究所副研究員任琳以及清華大學國際關系學系博士后何晴倩分別在會上發言。

    On March 23, 2019, the 20th International Relations Forum, themed Global Change and International Order, was successfully held in Conference Room 3, Jinchunyuan Hotel, Tsinghua University. On the basis of researches on international order and power shift, the Forum made explorations into their influence on world politics. Keynote speakers included Professor XIE Tao of Beijing Foreign Studies University School of English and International StudiesProfessor TIAN Ye of Renmin University School of International StudiesAssociate Professor WANG Dong of Peking University School of International StudiesAssociate Professor MAO Weizhun of Nanjing University School of GovernmentSenior Research Fellow REN Lin of Chinese Academy of Social Sciences Institute of World Economics and Politics, and postdoctoral researcher HE Qingqian of Tsinghua University Department of International Relations.





    會議上,專家學者們就當前的全球化國際秩序以及各國國內政治的影響問題展開了熱烈討論。通過控制所有影響變量,謝韜教授歐洲當今興起的右翼民粹主義的成因進行了實證研究,發現移民問題歐洲民粹主義政黨上臺存在顯著關系。

    During the Forum, participants engaged in heated discussions about globalization’s impact on international order and domestic politicsProf. XIE Tao conducted empirical research on causes of the rising of right-wing populism in Europe by controlling all the noise variables. And it turned out that immigration issues had a statistics significance with the populist parties coming to power


    田野教授同樣對于民粹主義興起進行了深刻分析,他從德國單一案例出發,通過進一步的推演和發展經典羅戈夫斯基模型,并結合德國參與經濟全球化的要素稟賦經濟全球化下的德國國內要素所有者的分化,分析了德國選擇黨興起的民意基礎。

    Prof. TIAN Ye made a thorough study on the rise of populism as well, but he focused on one single case, Germany. Combined with Germany’s factor endowment for participating in economic globalization and division among factor owners in this context, he analyzed the public foundationfor the rise of Alternative für Deutschland(AfD) by further deducting and developing the classical Rogowski Model



    王棟副教授中國參與為切入點闡述了再全球化運動下的國際生產要素流動的新特點。任琳副研究員著重思考了金融與霸權關系,其研究指出一國國內適用的金融政策在國際舞臺上可能適得其反,從而形成金融市場和國家邏輯間的悖論。

    Started with China’s involvementAssoc. Prof. WANG Dong explained new features of the international flow of productive factors in the re-globalization movementSenior Research Fellow REN Lin made profound comments on the relationship between finance and power. She pointed out that financial policies that suited one country might achieve the opposite goal if applied internationally, leading to a logical paradox betweenfinancial market and state


    何晴倩博士基于美國選民理性選擇理論的分析框架,分析了中美貿易和美國總統選舉間的關系,其結論指出中國進口對于美國選民行為產生重要影響,并且美國國內的身份政治也主導著美國的政治博弈。毛維準副教授研究了大國基礎設施建設倡議競爭對亞太地區的塑造作用。

    Applying the Rational Choice Theory of American voters, Dr. HE Qingqian analyzed China-U.S. trade and American presidential election. She concluded that imports from China exert a grave impact on American by shaping voters’ behaviors, and identity politics was running the political game. Assoc. Prof. MAO Weizhun gave a speech about how the competition between great powers’ infrastructure construction initiatives was shaping the Asia-Pacific region


    通過一天的討論,與會者們達成三點共識。第一,在國際關系研究中鼓勵使用科學方法已經初顯成效。第二,反映真實情況的學術研究對于社會具有很強吸引力。第三,無論宏觀還是微觀,國際關系研究應該力求發現普適性規律。 

    Participants reached three agreements after the one-day discussion. First, scientific approaches in studies of international relations were showing results. Second, academic researches that mirror the reality held appeal for society. Third, scholars of international relations studies should strive for the macro and micro universal laws


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